Тенденции на рынке недвижимости

[voyager1970]

Thailand's property market remains extremely buoyant despite a number of challenges it faced last year, while continuing to hold enormous potential for accelerated growth.

The resilience is encouraging with takeup rates and numbers of completed developments rising and the price per square metre (psm) of condominiums climbing, enabling investors to achieve healthy returns.

The segment that is really driving the market forward is condominiums, especially in the luxury bracket, evidence that there is high demand for quality product among both overseas and local investors.

Resort destinations have also performed well, despite quota and leasehold restrictions that have put the brakes on the high interest shown among the international investment community.

In recent research conducted by Raimon Land that covered Bangkok and key resort destinations, we can see that despite a tough political climate last year, the inner-city Bangkok condominium segment inched ahead 3% to reach 43.7 billion baht in sales.

Condominiums have clearly become the fastest growing segment in the residential market, with luxury developments emerging as an alternative for many local investors.

A second-half surge in Bangkok condominium demand in 2007 brought the year-end sales tally to 6,214 new units. Achieved prices and sales performances in high-end developments were particularly strong, with investors prepared to pay an additional 50% or more on top of the median price to secure the finest inner-city properties.

Completions of new condominiums have picked up, with 5,100 units added in 2007 compared to the 6,940 units launched. The supply/demand balance remains healthy with about 92% of the units in newly completed developments being sold. Performance in projects that have already started construction on the main structure and those that are still in earlier construction stages is similarly impressive.

Developers in Thailand's resort areas remained hesitant in 2007 due to uncertainties in new amendments to the Foreign Business Act. However, strong absorption from foreigners, who rushed to buy condominiums with available foreign ownership titles, pushed the total market value for resort condominiums to 17 billion baht, up 12% from 2006.

Locations close to Bangkok, where there is balanced Thai-foreign demand, were the most active. Pattaya led with 6.6 billion baht sold in 2007 followed by Hua Hin with 6.3 billion.

Koh Samui and Phuket, which depend on international investors for around 90% of the demand, were greatly affected by the regulation limiting foreign allocated units to 49% of the total inventory. Although the cap is not new, there was also the fear last year that it would be further strengthened.

This prompted the postponement of new launches, especially among small under-capitalised developers who depend on early bookings. This precipitated a healthy 61% takeup rate in 2007, with buyers snapping up 96% of the units in new developments.

Resort areas are benefiting from very low availability of completed supply, driving up prices in both resale and off-plan developments.

In 2007, close to a quarter of the units sold in resort areas were priced above 100,000 baht per square metre, and the number of seaview/beachfront units available for less than 100,000 baht psm is falling rapidly.

In the first quarter of 2008, the industry confirmed the recovery sparked in the last quarter of 2007 and as it approaches the middle of the year, it is demonstrating a vibrancy and dynamism that will continue to drive it forward.

This is good news for both overseas and local investors, as superb opportunities exist in the market for buyers to achieve healthy capital gains and solid rental returns.

The research that we have completed provides detailed evidence of these trends and highlights a property market that not only has a strong competitive advantage over its regional competitors but one that is maturing fast.

Our analysis draws on a wide range of factors to present a balanced, realistic survey of current market conditions. It examines new project launches in the context of annual and cumulative unit sales, price per square metre, location, takeup rates at projects under construction and completed transfers. It also employs economic indicators to provide a more precise outlook for 2008.

While providing insight for investors and buyers, what it most clearly demonstrates is that Thailand remains a growing market with huge scope for further growth.

Nigel Cornick is Chief Executive Officer of Raimon Land Public Co Ltd
_________________
.

[voyager1970]

Construction costs to lift condo prices
source: The Nation

Prices of residential are expected to rise between 5 per cent and 10 per cent in the second half of the year because of the rising cost of construction, property developers said.

This is despite the 4-per-cent tax incentive property developers have got with the government's stimulus package for the sector. It comprises a reduced special business tax - from 3.3 per cent to 0.01 per cent, transfer-fee reduction from 2 per cent to 0.01 per cent and mortgage-registration-fee reduction from 1 per cent to 0.01 per cent. The package has been effective since March 30.

Property broker Harrison's chief executive Alan Lin said residential project prices were expected to increase significantly because of rising construction costs. The segment likely to see the highest rise is city condominiums in which steel and cement prices, which have doubled, have a great impact.

"Most city condominium projects undergoing construction and presale have increased prices between 7 per cent and 10 per cent this year compared to last year. However, a rise of between 10 per cent and 20 per cent is expected as construction costs soar," he said.

Lin said home-buyers who bought property last year got it at cheaper rates than those who are buying this year.
_________________

[Искандерчег]

"Рынок недвижимости Таиланда остается чрезвычайно плавучим несмотря на множество вызовов, перед которыми это стояло в прошлом году, продолжая держать огромный потенциал для ускоренного роста. Упругость ободрительна с нормами натяжного приспособления и числами законченного повышения событий и цены в квадратный метр (psm) восхождения совладений, позволяя инвесторам достигнуть здоровых возвращений. Доля, которая действительно ведет рынок вперед, - совладения, особенно в роскошной скобке, свидетельство это там" ...

Во как...
Как сообщил говнопереводчик PROMT- "Упругость ободрительна"...
Четаем дальше...

[voyager1970]

Home builder lifts prices
source: The Nation

Home-builder Four Develop House plans to raise its housing prices by 3 per cent from an average of Bt14,500 per square metre to Bt15,000 in line with rising construction-material costs.

This will become effective in June, managing director Vichai Kongsriong said.

He added that the company had to increase its prices following a rise in raw-material costs of between 5 and 7 per cent since last year.

"We tried to maintain the existing price although our costs have been rising. We can no longer absorb the costs that are reducing our net profit from 15 per cent to 10 per cent. As a result we have decided to increase our prices in June," he said.

Four Develop House is a subsidiary of Four Pattana. The company focuses on the middle market with housing prices between Bt3 million and Bt4 million per unit.

The company estimated sales would be Bt75 million at the end of this year, or 25-per-cent growth from last year, but may reduce its sales target this year, since many landowners are delaying their decision to construct new houses while their cost of living is rising, Vichai said.

However, the company believes that its sales in the first half of this year will reach Bt35 million after the first four months of this year recorded sales of nearly Bt25 million.

Vichai added that the company's net profit this year may be lower than 10 per cent.

"We cannot say our net profit will keep up with last year because our costs are rising. However we tried to reduce costs by using a marketing campaign with our parent company and are trying to reduce construction expenses. That may help us to maintain our net profit at 8-10 per cent this year," he said.

To maintain its sales and net profit, the company plans to launch three new housing models to focus on customers who want to build new houses to replace existing

ones. The new models can be constructed on land areas of 60-70 square wah.
-----------------------------

[AlexMāori]

Tourism "boosting Thai property"
by Robert Carry
Thailand’s biggest international real estate provider, CB Richard Ellis, has reported soaring interest in holiday home investment, which it attributes to booming tourism and an increase in flight links.
In Phuket, the firm reports a 32 per cent increase in transactions from the third to last quarter of 2007, with a 59 per cent increase in their value, based on the latest statistics from the Land Department. While villas prices doubled from 2000 to 2006, CBRE said: “Phuket remains globally competitive. Prices and interest remain solid.”
Market enthusiasm is attributed to growing tourism, with tourist arrivals to Phuket exceeding 5 million last year, complimented by a robust 22.5 per cent increase in visitors to Thailand. These included many from new tourism sources, such as Russia, the UAE, Switzerland and eastern European countries. “As a result, there is a broader global customer base for high-end villas. Previously, most customers were expatriates from Hong Kong and Singapore. Now we are seeing a rise in demand from NRIs, Russians and Eastern Europeans,” said CBRE.
Airlines have responded to demand, most notably with new connections from regional budget carriers. From Singapore, budget airline Tiger Airways is supporting Silk Air connections. Air Asia has introduced new flights from Kuala Lumpur, and introduces daily flights between Macau and Phuket in May 2008.
Dragon Air is meanwhile upgrading its Phuket-Hong Kong route in peak seasons with larger aircraft and 90 international chartered flights in the last high season from October 2007 to March 2008, which represented a 150 per cent increase from last year. With new flight links, investors are also looking for opportunities beyond Phuket to areas such as Phang Nga, Krabi and outlying islands in the Andaman Sea, said the realtor.
Richmond Group steps up a gear
by Chris Smith,Property-Report
Phuket-based developer the Richmond Group has revealed that units in its developments are being snapped up in record time by investors eager to get a foothold on the holiday island.
The firm´s recently launched Kamala project, The Place, has become one of the fastest selling projects in Phuket with six apartments reserved with in its first two weeks of sales. By the just-passed three-month mark, half of the units have been sold. “It is a great location, walking distance from a vibrant community, at an affordable price. They are great value for money,” said sales coordinator Nathanial Bibby.
Another Richmond project, the Residence Town Homes, is proving even more popular. The first three phases of the project sold out so quickly that an additional phase, which will include 15 new town homes, was added to the development. Within three weeks of the latest phase hitting the market, 13 out of the 15 were reserved. Units in the project come with an 8 per cent rental guarantee for five years, which has proved to be a key selling point. Richmond project development managers are now working on adjusting Phase IV to include more town homes to help cope with additional demand. The new addition of town homes will include a new design of one-bedroom design.
Investors can also now view another Richmond project, the Pier, which has just opened the doors of its new showhome. The development´s 22 apartments which overlook the outlaying Islands of Chalong Bay are expected to prove as popular as Richmond´s previous efforts.

[Винский]

kongo,Позвольте мне сказать Вам по секрету.
Данный Форум является Форумом самостоятельных Путешественников.
Это подразумевает,что огромное большинство данного ресурса довольно
сносно владеет английским.Ну так уж повелось,понимаете?Путешественником,
без знания английского,нелегко быть самостоятельным.
Посты на английском это самое большинство Форума воспринимает без отрицательных эмоций,
за исключением естественно некоторых,куда Вы собственно и входите.Позвольте нам все-таки
не тратить время на переводы,пожалуйста.

Я посты на английском просто не читаю.
Поэтому запишу в правилах хорошего тона этого форума, что приведение цитат на инородном языке без комментария на родном языке форума, будет восприниматься как наплевательское отношение к участникам форума.

Я английский почти не знаю. И что?
Мне это не доставляет неудобств в моих самостоятельных путешествиях.

Для меня показателен такой момент:
Если стремятся рекламировать свои компании нахаляву - это свидетельствует о плохом финансовом положении этих компаний. Соответственно предлагается быть внимательнее при контактах с этими компаниями - могут взять денег и исчезнуть, до новых встреч, так сказать

[AlexMāori]

Prices of residential are expected to rise between 5 per cent and 10 per cent in the second half of the year because of the rising cost of construction, property developers said.

Кстати,сегодня многое Застройщики на Пукете подняли цены до 10%.
Это и Вилловые проекты и Кондоминиумы.Подготовка к высокому
сезону началась.

[Sergey22]

Prices of residential are expected to rise between 5 per cent and 10 per cent in the second half of the year because of the rising cost of construction, property developers said.

Кстати,сегодня многое Застройщики на Пукете подняли цены до 10%.
Это и Вилловые проекты и Кондоминиумы.Подготовка к высокому
сезону началась.

Это не высокий сезон, это попытки сохранить былую рентабельность на фоне роста цен на стройматериалы, топливо и рост зарплаты - читай на фоне роста инфляции.

[Sergey22]

Это не высокий сезон, это попытки сохранить былую рентабельность на фоне роста цен на стройматериалы, топливо и рост зарплаты - читай на фоне роста инфляции.

Согласен.
А что,разве зарплаты тоже увеличились?

С 1 июня поднимают минимальную дневную зарплату. Компания-строитель скоростной ветки поездов Bangkok-Suvarnabhumi назвала рост зарплаты в числе других причин, как способствующей потери прибыли и задержке со сроками сдачи объекта.

[AlexMāori]

Поэтому запишу в правилах хорошего тона этого форума, что приведение цитат на инородном языке без комментария на родном языке форума, будет восприниматься как наплевательское отношение к участникам форума.

Нет проблем,Босс.Будем комментировать.

Phuket buyer demographics shifting
by Robert Carry."Asia Property reports".28/05/2008

According to a new report released by a leading real estate services firm, the profile of overseas investors buying into Phuket is changing rapidly.
Jones Lang LaSalle reported that whilst buyers from UK, US and the Scandinavian nations continue to generate the majority of demand, the demand base has been expanded by the increased interest of buyers from Russian, Middle Eastern and Asian countries.
Dan Tantisunthorn, the firm´s head of research in Thailand, “Unlike the urban centre of Bangkok where Thais represent a substantial portion of demand in most condominium projects, the resort market of Phuket attracts primarily foreign buyers, who avail condominium units on both freehold and leasehold terms.”
He continued, “While traditionally the bulk of these foreigners would be British, American or Scandinavian nationals, affluent individuals from China, Russia, India, Korea and the Middle Eastern countries are representing a growing source of demand. This trend is reflective of the growth in the number of tourists from these markets.”
The report also found that the high-end and luxury condominium market in Phuket reported strong sales over the high tourism season in 2008. “Outlook for the Phuket high-end and luxury condominium market remains promising. The growing reputation of Phuket as one of the world’s top resort destinations will continue to attract buyers from around the world looking for a holiday or retirement home overseas.
“Moreover, the new government has expressed its strong will to attract more overseas capital flows into Thailand. The cancellation of the 30 per cent reserve on foreign capital investments is a positive sign. In addition, the Thai Finance Minister, Dr Surapong Suebwonglee, was recently quoted as saying the Thai government was considering to extend land leasehold periods. This is good news for the Phuket market. Should the initiative materialise, we can expect the market to be more robust,” Dan concluded.
В одном из недавно вышедшем "рилизе" говорится о стремительно увеличивающимся росте активности иностранных инвесторов на Пукете.В то время как покупатели из США,Великобритании и Скандинавских стран по прежнему остаются главными игроками на рынке,в последнее время наблюдается активность инвесторов из России,Ближнего Востока и Азии.
Если в Бангкоке покупатели с Тайским паспортом являются большинством собственником Кондоминиумов Проектов,то на Пукете таковым большинством являются иностранцы,причем в обоих видах:"фрихолд&лизхолд".
В "рилизе" также говорится,что "Люксовый Кондоминиумовый Рынок" на Пукете был очень сильным в плане продаж.И также подчёркивается,что растущая популярность Пукета,как одного из "топовых" мировых резортов продолжает притягивать покупателей со всех стран мира,рассматривающих Пукет как место для отдыха,так и место для для проживания в пенсионном возрасте.
Новое правительство Королевства Тайланд обозначило своё сильное желание по привлечению иностранных инвестиций в страну путем недавних поправок к законодательству.Как сказал Министр Финансов Королевства Тайланд Доктор Сурапонг Субвонгли правительство страны рассматривает также поправку об увелечении срока Аренды Земли для иностранных покупателей.

[Sergey22]

По инфляции - 7,6% за май, очень близко к 10-ти летнему максимуму. Скорее всего не предел, сказывается год искусственного сдерживания цен военными, производители и продавцы наверстывают упущенную выгоду.
По желанию привлечь больше иностранных инвестиций в строительство - аналитики сходятся во мнении, что пока тайский рынок не станет прозрачным для инвесторов, хорошего роста не жди. Сравнивают с Сингапуром, где можно online увидеть сколько единиц имеется на продажу в проекте. В Таиланде полагаются только на честность продавца, который обычно озвучивает - осталось совсем немного, надо торопиться.

[voyager1970]

Now's the time to sell condos
source: Bkk Post June 30 2008

Oversupply could push prices downward

Anyone thinking of selling a condominium should do so soon because prices are likely to drop in six to 12 months due to political uncertainty and oversupply, says Ian Soo, managing director of Hamptons Property.

Prices have already stabilised and as more units come on the market, they may be pushed down.

"I think there is an oversupply of units in central Bangkok and I think if you combine that with some sort of political uncertainty then what you will find is less demand," said Mr Soo. "This is effectively going to put pressure on prices."

He said that the downward price pressure was unlikely to be very pronounced in the 1-3 million baht condominium or townhouse segment. "I think the high end of the market will have some stock that will be harder to sell now, so it's more likely to affect the luxury end of the market."

As a lot of the property that was launched a few years ago is now coming on the market, developers will watch how sales pan out over the next six to 12 months. They are in a difficult position because of rising costs, but that does not mean they are going to be able to pass these on to the buyers.

"They can do that when the economy is strong and there is easy credit but not when the economy is stagnant," said Mr Soo.

While this raises fears that lower-quality buildings might be built, Mr Soo does not expect established companies to cut corners but will have to absorb some or all of the costs.

Whether lower prices could turn into a buying opportunity depends on what sorts of units come on the market, in Mr Soo's vie.w

And while sellers would get higher prices if they sell today, he said those who have money to spare are always going to be looking for investments, and property with rental yields of around 6% is not a bad place to park money. "But I think people are being a little bit cautious in this type of environment."

Some expatriate buyers too are holding back, though he says those who have money to invest are still active in the market.

The bright spot is in the rental market, which is unlikely to be affected by the anticipated price drop. But greater choice could lead to better-value units becoming available.

Demand right now is mostly for high-quality one- to two-bedroom units, even though the space is smaller. "There will always be people who will want 300 to 400 square metres, perhaps in an older building further away from the skytrain, but the majority of working professionals living here ... prefer smaller, more modern units."

Hamptons' clients, he says, prefer Sukhumvit as far as Ekamai, plus Silom and Sathon, and these are expected see both rental and buying demand.

Mr Soo said the real estate slowdown was widespread right now, but has not been as serious as in the UK and US because there are more cash buyers in Thailand, which has insulated the country from the credit crisis.

While many think it is good to buy during turbulent times, he said that a lot of people should keep their assets in cash if they are not sure what the situation will be like in a few months.

Although those who bought property during the 1997 meltdown did earn a big profit, this is seems easy in hindsight. "The economic crash of 1997 was huge, very sudden. This economic slowdown is not as dramatic."

Mr Soo urged the government to allow foreigners to get mortgages in Thailand.

"They represent a very important part of the property market and expecting them to pay cash or not giving them financial support, something that they should do, is a mistake I think. Not all foreigners are really so rich that they can buy in cash."
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[Kock666]

которую неделю наблюдаю на сайте по патайской недвижимости, количество кондов по 500.000 THB разжирело
далее идут по 880.000-1.000000

всё что в апреле стоило от 1.500000

[Гость]

всё что в апреле стоило от 1.500000

Примеры можно увидеть?

[voyager1970]

[qуоте="Коцк666"]которую неделю наблюдаю на сайте по патайской недвижимости, количество кондов по 500.000 ТХБ разжирело :еек:
далее идут по 880.000-1.000000

всё что в апреле стоило от 1.500000[/qуоте]

кондо по 500000 были всегда.просто агенства их никогда не брали на комиссию.а сейчас не те времена,когда щелчком пальца можно за 2 миллиона кондо задвинуть.кстати, ссылки не подкините?

[Гость]

ссылки не подкините?

И мне, если не затруднит.

Есть инвестор, который скупает ликвидные недорогие квартиры на 30% ниже текущей рыночной стоимости.
Желающие продать или имеющие подобные варианты - welcome в ЛС

[Sergey22]

Есть инвестор, который скупает ликвидные недорогие квартиры на 30% ниже текущей рыночной стоимости.

C удовольствием поучаствую в процессе и за 25%. Без инвестора.

[Aleksei 32]

Я так понял ,что ссылок не увижу не потому,что мое зрение минус 3,а потому ,что их нет.

[cc]

что происходит с ценами на недвигу??

[AlexMāori]

что происходит с ценами на недвигу??

Они не рухнули,представляете!
Мало того,ровненько поддают в росте.